Delphin.

Brit.

/ˈdɛlfʌɪ/,

/ˈdɛlfi/, U.S.

/ˈdɛlˌfaɪ/

Etymology: < the name of a town of ancient Greece (see Delphian adj.), the site of a sanctuary and oracle of Apollo.

Applied attributively to a method of forecasting technological and other events by analysing the results of a questionnaire sent to a panel of experts, who are therefore not subject to the inhibiting factors of a round-table discussion.

ΘΚΠ

the mind > mental capacity > expectation > foresight, foreknowledge > anticipation, forecast > [noun] > based on a questionnaire

Delphi1963

1963 Dalkey & Helmer in Managem. Sci. Apr. 458 ‘Project Delphi’ is the name for a study of the use of expert opinion that has been intermittently conducted at the RAND Corporation. The technique employed is called the Delphi method.

1966 O. Helmer Social Technol. i. 16 The Delphi technique has been used recently in a large-scale experiment in which several international panels of respondents were enlisted in an effort to arrive at long-range contingency forecasts of the state of the world twenty-five to fifty years hence.

1969 Futures Sept. 417 The Delphi forecasts were..more accurate in 13 cases.

1972 Times 9 Mar. 19 He intends to apply the so-called Delphi method in backing future productions—a kind of consensus forecasting technique in which panels of different experts are called in.

1983 Leisure, Recreation & Tourism Abstr. iv. no. 1872 An overview and guide to the major forecasting methods currently in use. Trend extrapolation, Delphi forecasting, structural forecasting and dynamic forecasting are reviewed.

This entry has not yet been fully updated (first published 1989; most recently modified version published online March 2022).

单词	delphi
释义	Delphin. Brit. /ˈdɛlfʌɪ/, /ˈdɛlfi/, U.S. /ˈdɛlˌfaɪ/ Etymology: < the name of a town of ancient Greece (see Delphian adj.), the site of a sanctuary and oracle of Apollo. Applied attributively to a method of forecasting technological and other events by analysing the results of a questionnaire sent to a panel of experts, who are therefore not subject to the inhibiting factors of a round-table discussion. ΘΚΠ the mind > mental capacity > expectation > foresight, foreknowledge > anticipation, forecast > [noun] > based on a questionnaire Delphi1963 1963 Dalkey & Helmer in Managem. Sci. Apr. 458 ‘Project Delphi’ is the name for a study of the use of expert opinion that has been intermittently conducted at the RAND Corporation. The technique employed is called the Delphi method. 1966 O. Helmer Social Technol. i. 16 The Delphi technique has been used recently in a large-scale experiment in which several international panels of respondents were enlisted in an effort to arrive at long-range contingency forecasts of the state of the world twenty-five to fifty years hence. 1969 Futures Sept. 417 The Delphi forecasts were..more accurate in 13 cases. 1972 Times 9 Mar. 19 He intends to apply the so-called Delphi method in backing future productions—a kind of consensus forecasting technique in which panels of different experts are called in. 1983 Leisure, Recreation & Tourism Abstr. iv. no. 1872 An overview and guide to the major forecasting methods currently in use. Trend extrapolation, Delphi forecasting, structural forecasting and dynamic forecasting are reviewed. This entry has not yet been fully updated (first published 1989; most recently modified version published online March 2022). < n.1963
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