Delphi method

a method of researching, with the aim of perhaps FORECASTING, future events. This involves marshalling the views, either by interviews or meetings, of a panel of‘experts’ who are thought likely to be well placed to estimate future trends in the field in question. The method is named after the temple of Apollo at Delphi in Ancient Greece, famous for its oracle, whose priestesses were renowned for the highly cryptic character of their prophecies. How far ‘experts’ are always in the best position to provide useful forecasts of events is debatable. Experts, by definition having a particular view of the world, may be good at extrapolating trends or tendencies already well established, but they may be less good at spotting insidious change or the ‘unexpected’, which an outsider may be better placed to do. See also FUTUROLOGY.

Delphi method

An iterative group judgement technique in which a central source forwards surveys or questionnaires to isolated, anonymous—to each other—participants whose responses are collated/summarised and recirculated to the participants in multiple rounds for further modification/critique, producing a final group response

Delphi method

(del'fi?) [After the oracle of Apollo at Delphi] See: method

Delphi method

The polling of experts in a field to reach consensus, make decisions, or disseminate knowledge. Individual specialists are organized in a virtual group, i.e., one that does not meet face-to-face in one place. They are each given a standard set of questions to answer or review. Their responses are tallied by the group's organizers, and then the preliminary data analysis is shared with all members of the group for further comments and revisions. A final report summarizing the opinions of the group is drafted. The Delphi method is one means of publishing criteria for standards of care or the state of the art of a particular discipline in health care. See also: method

单词	delphi method
释义	DictionarySeeDelphi technique Delphi method Delphi method a method of researching, with the aim of perhaps FORECASTING, future events. This involves marshalling the views, either by interviews or meetings, of a panel of‘experts’ who are thought likely to be well placed to estimate future trends in the field in question. The method is named after the temple of Apollo at Delphi in Ancient Greece, famous for its oracle, whose priestesses were renowned for the highly cryptic character of their prophecies. How far ‘experts’ are always in the best position to provide useful forecasts of events is debatable. Experts, by definition having a particular view of the world, may be good at extrapolating trends or tendencies already well established, but they may be less good at spotting insidious change or the ‘unexpected’, which an outsider may be better placed to do. See also FUTUROLOGY. Delphi method An iterative group judgement technique in which a central source forwards surveys or questionnaires to isolated, anonymous—to each other—participants whose responses are collated/summarised and recirculated to the participants in multiple rounds for further modification/critique, producing a final group response Delphi method (del'fi?) [After the oracle of Apollo at Delphi] See: method Delphi method The polling of experts in a field to reach consensus, make decisions, or disseminate knowledge. Individual specialists are organized in a virtual group, i.e., one that does not meet face-to-face in one place. They are each given a standard set of questions to answer or review. Their responses are tallied by the group's organizers, and then the preliminary data analysis is shared with all members of the group for further comments and revisions. A final report summarizing the opinions of the group is drafted. The Delphi method is one means of publishing criteria for standards of care or the state of the art of a particular discipline in health care. See also: method LegalSeeMethodThesaurusSeemethod
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