| 释义 |
Delphi technique
Delphi technique n (Industrial Relations & HR Terms) a forecasting or decision-making technique that makes use of written questionnaires to eliminate the influence of personal relationships and the domination of committees by strong personalities Delphi Technique
Delphi Technique (programming, tool)A group forecasting technique, generallyused for future events such as technological developments,that uses estimates from experts and feedback summaries ofthese estimates for additional estimates by these expertsuntil reasonable consensus occurs. It has been used invarious software cost-estimating activities, includingestimation of factors influencing software costs.Delphi technique
Delphi technique [del´fi] a method of measuring the judgments of a group of experts, assessing priorities, or making forecasts. A questionnaire is sent to a panel of experts and the responses are summarized and subjected to statistical analysis. The outcome of the analysis is returned to the panel along with a second questionnaire. This procedure is repeated until a consensus is reached by the panel.An iterative group judgement technique in which a central source forwards surveys or questionnaires to isolated, anonymous—to each other—participants whose responses are collated/summarised and recirculated to the participants in multiple rounds for further modification/critique, producing a final group responseDelphi technique
Delphi techniqueCollection of independent opinions without group discussion by the analysts providing the opinions; used for various sorts of evaluations (such as country risk assessment).Delphi TechniqueA system of forecasting in which different experts give their professional opinions without knowing what the other experts' opinions are. That is, the experts share their opinions anonymously and discuss them in a series of rounds. These rounds continue until they reach some consensus. The Delphi technique exists to ensure that a famous or well-regarded expert's opinion does not drown out those of lesser known analysts.Delphi technique an approach to generating new ideas or problem-solving amongst a GROUP or team. Each member or interested party submits his or her recommendations or views on the issue under review to a central contact point. All ideas generated in this way are then circulated to all those participating in the process, who then have the opportunity to submit comments on them. This process is repeated until a consensus emerges. Although time consuming, it can be an effective approach to the management of change since it enables all interested parties to express their views, generates consensus and, by incorporating all in the decisionmaking process, tends to generate commitment to the final outcome. See TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING, BRAINSTORMING, NOMINAL GROUP TECHNOLOGY. |